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Geopolitical disruption risks without oil spare capacities

Last week oil prices spiked to an all time high in four years since 2014.  The international benchmark ICE Brent for December settled at US$86.29 per barrel Wednesday October 3, up US$1.49 per barrel from Tuesday, October 2. The West Texas Intermediate, WTI crude the U.S. benchmark oil futures, rose by US$1.18 per barrel to settle at US$76.41 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, NYMEX. With rising demand and no spare capacity to be deployed to boost global supply the bullish prediction of oil prices hitting the US$100 mark appear imminent. Many believe that another spike may cripple the industry. The oil market looks up to Saudi Arabia, its allies in  the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC and Russia would do to calm market supply worries that have contributed to a rise in oil prices above US$86 a barrel last week.   

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Baru: Another fuel supply war room now

Speculation on the barrel which is the bane of the oil industry has come alive. Oil prices rose Tuesday on news that Saudi Arabia is comfortable with Brent above US$80 per barrel, offsetting the concerns that have been building over the U.S.-China trade war. The Trump administration is escalating the trade war with China, by announcing US$200 billion in tariffs on Chinese goods. The tariffs will start at 10 percent and go into effect next Monday September 24, and rise to 25 percent by January 1. An additional US$267 billion in tariffs on consumer goods are in the works. China would retaliate with tariffs on U.S. oil and gas exports to put a dent in crude oil exports.

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China imperialistic advances and African fossil fuels

African leaders converged on Beijing, China from September 3-4, 2018, for the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, FOCAC. This is the third time the summit was held since it was launched in Beijing in 2000. The Chinese President Xi Jinping promised US$60 billion in both aids and loans to the African continent. The zero interest loans are to fund infrastructure investments in Africa.

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The oil politics of Iranian sanctions

The heat from the United States is on and many wondered why Turkey is becoming the victim. Although it is not a significant producer or consumer of oil, it is naturally well located in the geopolitical equation.  Turkey in southeastern Europe and Southwest Asia is bordered by Greece, the Black Sea, Georgia, Armenia, Iran, Iraq, Syria, the Mediterranean Sea, the Aegean Sea, and Bulgaria. 

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No fuel

That N17 bn to track imported fuel: Witticism or joke

Between June and July 1925, Will Rogers (1879-1935) comedian, newspaper columnist, film and radio star, and political satirist revealed his encounter with the 30th President of the United States Calvin Coolidge. Asked how his funny stories were all thought up, Rogers a regular guest to the first family for light-hearted jokes replied: “I don’t make jokes, Mr. President; I watch the government and report the facts.”

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