*Obasanjo
Protocol
Thank you for the warm welcome to the beautiful city of Houston and to Texas Southern University (TSU). In the last couple of days, I have had engagements in a number of cities in Africa and in the US but Houston presents a special ambience for me. I offer special thanks to the leadership of this University as well as to staff, faculty and students and in particular to the Provost and Vice President for Academic Affairs & Research, James W. Ward and all others who facilitated my coming to TSU today.
As one of the leading historically-black universities in the US, we applaud the success stories recorded since this university was founded in 1927. Your national and global ranking in several disciplines commendably stand you out. For us in Africa, TSU is our pride. The university has produced a large number of graduates of African origin who are now in top leadership roles in the continent, with Nigeria appropriating a large share. Since I came, everywhere I turned, I can see what I can call a “Nigerian face” among faculty and students. Recall that by sheer numbers, Nigerians make up one out of every four on the African continent. Perhaps the faces I see as Nigerians could very well be those of Ghanaians, Kenyans, South Africans and others with African roots.
The level of diversity exhibited by your institution does not only reflect in the composition of your students but also in your faculty capacity. It is a delight to observe Dr. Sunny E. Ohia and the Interim Associate Provost, Associate Vice President for Research, Adebayo Oyekan, have Nigerian roots. It is on account of this rich African ancestry of staff, faculty and students of TSU that I have steered this lecture to address the issue of political and economic growth in Africa, so that we can keep ourselves up-to-date on issues relating to development in the continent from which most of you derive your roots.
Distinguished ladies and gentlemen, I have decided to share my thoughts with you on, Current Dynamics and Future of Political and Economic Growth & Development In Africa.
We are at a point in history where Africa, in spite of its challenges, has emerged a critical player in the global development agenda, As a continent, we have, learned a lot of lessons from our colonial past. When the wave of independence blew across Africa in the late 1950s and 1960s, history was made. I do not wish to bemoan the past predicaments of our continent. We are all familiar with how the contact between Africa and the outside world precipitated death and destruction, untold misery, dislocations, distortions, contradictions and conflicts all culminating in the underdevelopment of Africa and its marginalization in the global divisions of labor, decision-making and power.

*Obasanjo in Texas
Today, my aim is to celebrate Africa; to show that Africa is moving away from being a region of hunger, pain, misery, backwardness and perpetual bad news, to a continent of opportunity, possibilities; and progress. I will show that Africa has a lot to be proud of by way of achievements and more importantly that we have a sense of direction, a sense of mission and a determination to engage our problems directly. Of course, as always, and as it is with other continents, we will continue to need the understanding and support of our friends in our quest to effectively reposition the region for peace, harmony, Self-sustained growth, development, democracy and good governance.
It is true that Africa still has problems that constrain and indeed distort development and precipitate instability and crises. These include corruption, bad governance and bad leadership, poor resource management, technological backwardness, structural deficiencies, among several others. These are not new problems. However, two issues can be regarded as new. First, even in the most depressed African economy, people and leaders are increasingly aware of the depth and implications of the problems and current commitment to change. Second, the majority of the 54 countries in Africa are not in the group of distressed, failed, exhausted, regressing, and unstable economies. This is something to be celebrated.
About five decades ago, the wave of military coups and totalitarianism was common place. Democracies that were wrestled from the colonial masters were truncated at their prime. Youthful and ambitious young military officers were too impatient to see the democratic process bloom. For a continent that had experienced colonialism for far too long, coups and counter coups soon replaced the short-lived freedom that followed. In the face of taking power using the barrel of the gun, lives were lost, the will of the people were subverted, life was snuffed out of democracy. This deviation from the sanity of a new world order where leaders were chosen by the citizenry was cut short.
Before these lapses set in, desire for progress was what motivated the leaders of independent African countries in 1963 when they came together to form the Organization of African Unity. Top on their agenda was “to accelerate the political and socio-economic integration of the continent.” This aspiration remains as relevant today as it was 52 years ago. From my experience in and out of government,· the success of this ambition and many more like it depends largely on the commitment, and in some cases involvement, of African leaders in the public and…important as its economy. Although some school of thought may oppose this view, my experience in government has clearly validated it. When you attempt to separate political development from economic growth, you are inviting chaos.
Talking about the dynamics of democracy in present day Africa let me be quick to remind you about the historic Presidential elections that took place in Nigeria a few weeks ago. It was the first time in our young democracy that an incumbent president lost an election. Contrary to the wave of violence that followed the declaration of the 2011 elections, a sense of peace, tranquility and patriotism prevailed. The incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan was quick to concede defeat. His statesman-like decision partly contributed to the post-election calm but more importantly is the level of patriotism and citizenship exercised by the people. Many people defied scorching sun and downpour of rain to collect their permanent voters cards (PVC), to get accredited on the day of election and to subsequently vote and protect their votes. This is a clear indicator of the level of growth and development that our democracy is experiencing, which I believe other African countries are poised to emulate.
Nexus between Political and Economic Growth and Development in Africa
Distinguished ladies and gentlemen, if we were to plug in variables of politics and economy into the development equation, we will find the links to be positive, large and significant, The color and nature of politics practiced in the land have direct impact on growth and development. So also is economy which intertwines with politics to affect development. How do these play out on the ground in Africa?
The wave of protests across the Arab world which started in 2011 had its roots in Africa. The living conditions…Africans is gradually being turned into a tool of empowerment for the citizens. That singular action in Tunisia set the Arab world on its guard and threatened the remaining dictators on the continent and around the world. Some forty, or fifty decades ago, opposing voices are only heard as whispers in the face of fierce dictators and power-drunk civilians. In Africa of today, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa and many other countries have shown us that credible elections can be conducted with bold and organized opposition. Young people on the streets are now proud and certain that any government that under-performs will be ushered out at the ballot.
Regional bodies like the African Union have intervened timely in situations that can or have degenerated into violence and have ensured credible political systems on the continent. I have led a number of African Union election monitoring/ observer teams, the latest being Sudan, and I attest to the reasonable efficacy of the intervention. Although not perfect, these are indications of a growing and promising political growth and development, and it gives a lot of hope for the present and the future.
Of course, all countries on the continent are not blight free with regard to practicing true democracy. Although some leaders have been in power for upwards of one decade, such acts can be recorded in only a handful of states. I believe that the successes recorded in other countries on the continent where democracy is being continuously nurtured will propel the few hesitant countries to improve on their practice of democracy.
Ladies and gentlemen, let me now take on the economic aspect of Africa’s growth and development. Political instability,violent conflicts and war are bane of economic development. The loss of human resources, destruction of existing inadequate infrastructure, disinterest of local and foreign investors, are immiscible with economic growth. African leaders are aware of these are
enhancement of economic development and prosperity.
For a more prosperous continent, internal linkages and the integration of African economic sectors is important. The continued expansion of African multinationals is a very commendable effort. In many more ways, Africa’s private sector has proven effective in blurring state-border lines and promoting the free-flow of goods and services, capital, labor and markets.
Some twenty years ago, it was almost impossible to find Africa-owned multinational companies that are based in Africa expanding across the continent. Today, many of such multinationals are increasing in number. Brand names like Ethiopian Airlines; Kenya Airways, South Africa’s MTN, Nigeria’s Globacom, United Bank for Africa, Guaranty Trust Bank, Dangote, are some of Africa’s multinational corporations with business landscape spanning the continent and even further afield to other regions of the world.
This success story of the emergence of multinational corporations owned by Africans does not in any way underplay the importance of foreign investment and partners. The flow of Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) is a necessary component of economic growth and increased output. FDls are so critical that they drive the growth of local businesses and enhance job creation. They blur the border between Africa and the rest of the world by enhancing transfer of technology into the continent from developed countries. They create wealth, reduce poverty and improve the standard of living of the citizens.
Challenges to Political and Economic Growth and Development in Africa
As an incurable optimist when it comes to Africa, I will not pretend that all is well with Africa as we still have a long way to go. A number of challenges still clog the wheel of progress. Some of these challenges form part of…
Let us take the issue of terrorism which is fast rising on a global scale. Terrorism is a global cancer that requires collective global effort to be surgically and strategically removed. Poverty, unemployment and warped social and religious values are among the many contributory factors leading African youth to enlist in the ignoble ranks of terrorists. Recruitment on social media channels targeting young people in Europe and America calls for global concern and action. This outlook provides a daunting challenge for Africa. Exactly three weeks ago today, gunmen suspected to be Al Shabaab devotees attacked Garissa University College in Kenya killing about 147 innocent students. This happened even before the pains and hurtful memories of the Westgate Mall attack of 2013 in Nairobi can begin to fade. For six years, Boko Haram killed and slaughtered people in Northern Nigeria with the kidnap of 276 Chibok school girls being one of the outstanding entries in their black book. Their activities were even extended into neighboring Cameroun, Chad and Niger. March 2015 also witnessed attacks on the Bardo Museum in Tunis, Tunisia, with foreign and local causalities. In France, Denmark, Australia, Turkey, Mali, Egypt, horrendous attacks on innocent lives have been perpetrated by terrorists and their sympathizers.
Terrorism threatens to reverse the progress in political and economic stability that has so far being made in Africa. It discourages economic growth by creating insecurity which drives investors away and discourage more FDls. As the global community press on in this fight, Africa should be seen as a partner in progress to combat this global threat to human security. Individual nations should embark on socio-economic programmes to lift up marginalized and disadvantaged areas of their countries .Intelligence sharing and joint military operation at bilateral and multi-lateral levels must be…
Another challenge facing the continent is the high level of unemployment. The global unemployment outlook is not very positive but Africa’s unemployment rate remains alarming. The youth who constitute about 60°/o of the population are more affected by this challenge.
Employment is a right of all those who want to’ work and that right must not be denied them. Growth without job creation can only lead to frustration, bitterness and anger particularly among the youth who, in restiveness and restlessness, can trigger a tsunami of social unrest that would make nonsense of the highest of growths.
Although the era of military incursion into democratic systems in Africa is becoming rare, pockets of violent conflicts and ethnic tensions are still being experienced in some areas. In 2013, the number of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs)in Africa grew by about eight percent. The conflict in Democratic Republic of Congo shattered the political system and ruined any record of growth recorded before the conflict began. The civil war in South Sudan has seen the humanitarian crisis in that country degenerate beyond acceptable levels. I was approved Chairman of the AU Commission of Inquiry on South Sudan as a result of violent conflict after independence.
Uninterrupted democratic systems signal the only way to a prosperous Africa. Economies collapse when ethnic and internal violence becomes the order of the day.
Last year, the outbreak of the Ebola Virus Disease ravaged some West African countries. Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea were badly affected. Mali, Nigeria and Senegal recorded a few cases and were later declared free of the disease. The burden of this epidemic within the context of a dysfunctional health system and poverty contributed to the spread of the disease. This challenge came while Africa and the rest of the world were still battling with HIV I AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria on the continent further burdening and over-stretching the resources of the fragile health systems. The substandard state of healthcare system in Africa complicates the challenge of providing adequate services for its people. Capital flight in the healthcare sector continues to plaque the continent as the relatively affluent people seek medical attention and treatment abroad. Africa needs a healthy population to be able to rise to its potential. The lesson from Ebola is that adequate provision must be made for healthcare services in all African countries. Ebola exposed the inadequacy and the unpreparedness in this regard.
Another issue I will like to talk about is the worrisome trend of drug trafficking. This further complicates the progress that Africa has made and is making. The growing impact of drug trade is an enormous issue in Africa, particularly in West Africa which is vulnerable to transnational criminal activity. Borders are porous, coastlines are under-patrolled, and institutions are vulnerable to corruption. International drug cartels are using countries as transhipment points between the production centres in Latin America and Asia and consumer markets in Europe and the United States. Illegal drugs and the money that they generate invade and destabilise societies.

Regent Adetutu Adesida Ojei, The Deji of Akure, a TSU alumi, at the event.
These developments threaten to reverse recent economic and social gains in Africa. So far, West Africa has escaped the bloody carnage which scars Central America on a daily basis. But with the stakes so high, there is no room for complacency. Just one tonne of cocaine that reaches Europe via West Africa is worth more than the security budget of many of our countries. In my work as the Chairman of the West Africa Commission on Drugs, we have found that interdiction, though improving, is still hampered by capacity and resource constraints and sometimes interference by the very influential people. In some countries in the region, people in positions of power, the security services and…
This has led, in some cases, to political instability and corruption. However, we find that links between traffickers and terrorist networks are more often opportunistic than ideological. Militarising the response to drug trafficking would therefore only make matters worse. We believe that West Africa’s electoral processes are worryingly vulnerable to corruption by drug money. To deal effectively with the issue ‘of drug, the producing countries, the transit countries, and the consuming countries must work hand-in-hand and together. There is also need for review of drug laws and policy in most countries so that adequate attention is paid to the health aspect and not only criminal justice aspect alone.
Charting the Course for a Politically and Economically Prosperous Future for Africa
For Africa to establish itself as a politically and economically viable continent, it must continue to press further in its integration and collaborative engagements. Lessons should be learnt from the success and challenges of NEPAD to further ensure ‘home-grown’ solutions to Africa’s challenges. More specifically, its leaders, in the public and private sectors, must ensure that they consolidate on the gains made since the millennium. Reforms that have promoted economic stability should be sustained. Political leaders must ensure that greed and self-interest do not cloud their sense of judgement. Ideals of democracy should be promoted and preserved, not only for the leaders, but the citizens should be carried along to understand their civic responsibility and their power to choose their own leaders. African leaders should be uncompromising in building viable institutions in the area of politics, trade and investment, education, health, judiciary, and all areas of governance. It is such institutions that will help checkmate shortcomings and help preserve the ideals of a prosperous and a peaceful Africa. For a wholesome…contentment will reign, social justice and human rights and human dignity must firm the bedrock of such a society. The cankerworm of corruption in all its manifestations must be removed.
Let me now deal with the issue of education. It is said that the only alternative to education is education. We have to continue to invest massively in education at all levels to produce men and women who will lead and direct our development programs and progress. They must form the think-tank and the do-tank for our development. Our hope and aspiration as a continent for our development must be in tandem with the content, quality, value and adequacy of our education particularly science, mathematics and engineering. In the same vein, our education must also be designed to drive entrepreneurial development especially among our young people. Our educational system should be upgraded to focus on, not just acquiring the ability to read, write and communicate, it must be propelled to produce job creators and inventors.
The present generation is exposed to so much advancement in science and technology than all the generations before them. Therefore, Africa must encourage its young people to embrace science and technology development. Holistic approaches should be taken to harness the power of science and technology across Africa in ways that will boost development of various sectors of the economy. Policies that encourage local business should be promoted to encourage budding entrepreneurs.
As a farmer, I have seen and experienced the potential of agriculture. Besides combating food security, it helps to generate a lot of jobs. But it must be made attractive to young people. Many of them still think of hoes and cutlasses when they hear about agriculture. Such a stereotype should be discouraged. We must encourage and increase the export potentials of Africa to other parts of the world. The threat of global food security makes the large uncultivated land in Africa a most desirable area of focus for African governments and the private sector to turn for viable agriculture. Agribusiness must be rapidly promoted and taught practically to young people to stimulate their interest in taking to agribusiness as a vocation.
The problems faced by Africans today must be confronted with a renewed vigour. The problems facing the continent are more internal than external. This means that more work would have to be done within the continent. But by who? As a prelude to answering this question and connecting with the other strategic questions to be answered, I like to recall some discussions at the 2015 Annual Summit of the Centre for Human Security (CHS) of the Olusegun Obasanjo Presidential Library (OOPL)in Abeokuta, Ogun State, Nigeria on March 5 2015. Two interesting lectures were delivered on the occasion. The first was by General Martin Luther Agwai (rtd), the former Force Commander of the ·UN Peace Operations in Darfur, Sudan and the second was by Dr. Umar Bindir, the Director General of the National Office for Technological Acquisition and Promotion in Nigeria.
The two lectures focused on how Africa, and most particularly Nigeria, could become a true “giant of Africa” through innovations in security management, science and technology. While the lecture delivered by General Agwai focused on security sector reforms in Africa, that of Bindir harped on the fact that what Nigeria needs in order to become an industrial giant in the world are already in existence in the country. These are human resources, natural resources, and some existing innovations resulting from research findings of academic institutions and policy think tanks around the country.
Bindir bemoaned a situation where financial resources are pumped into the conduct of new research projects…Nigeria, and Africa, provide the opportunity to acquire new lessons on how to become self-reliant. What this translates into is that the present positive development indexes in Africa are probably not sustainable.
There were three discussants of the papers presented by Agwai and Bindir. One of them was a 12-year-old secondary student. When he mounted the rostrum, I could clearly see anxiety on the faces of the audience. Why would a 12-year old be asked to discuss presentations made by the likes of his grandfathers? But by the time the boy started to discuss the two papers, the wisdom of bringing him to the Summit became appreciated.
The young boy thanked the two paper presenters for their erudition and called attention to the salient issues raised in their presentations. However, he said the future that both papers were talking about has more to do with him and his generation. He could not see….
given the slow pace of development in Africa. He was civil enough not to clearly accuse his older generation of not giving African children and youth any hope for the future. But the audience clearly got the message he was trying to make by circumlocution that the present level of development in Africa is not sustainable if the quality of economic and political leadership in the continent is not improved. He raised questions about the widespread fear that the 2015 elections would lead to violence. On behalf of his peers, he begged the audience to do all within their powers towards ensuring that no lives were lost during the elections. To him, Nigerian children are tired of living in orphanages. The elections turned out reasonably peacefully the way he urged.
Concluding Remarks
Distinguished ladies and gentlemen, as I bring this lecture to a close, I should stress that it is a greasy pole to climb to attempt to say all that are needed to be said on current developments and future directions of politics and economy of Africa. What I have been able to do is to present key highlights of the issues but laying stress on those contemporary issues with high predictive power of the future of political and economic development in the continent.
The economy of Sub-Saharan Africa is today widely considered to be the second fastest growing in the world, trailing only developing Asia. This is remarkable compared to the current complicated state of the global economy, with Europe still struggling and the United States slowly on the mend. It is interesting to note that foreign investors that hitherto ignored Africa as a marginal backwater are now competing for opportunities and influence. The competition is increasingly between the western world and China. In short, Africa is undergoing a moment of transformation and the current dynamics appear to be salutary. But how enduring are the capacity to sustain its present of development?
For now, the growth experienced by the continent does not necessarily trickle down to the· grassroots. Until this problem is actionably dealt with, the future of Africa cannot be said to be rosy because development is not about mounting statistics but about noticeable positive changes in the life of the people, about freedom and choice.
Still talking about the future, Africans would like to see free, fair and credible elections in which their votes would count. They want a political leadership that is committed to transparency and accountability. They want to have enough food to eat, good healthcare, and effective educational system. They want to see a narrowing of the gap in the living standards of Africans and the rest of the world. They want a peaceful continent in which individuals would have no fear to pursue their legitimate social, economic and political goals. They want a drastic reduction in the number of unemployed youths. All of these are modest demands; the people are not asking for too much. Until the expectations of the people are met it is difficult for us to celebrate the current development trends in the continent.
African governments are doing their best to contend with each of these problems unilaterally, bilaterally and multilaterally. At the multilateral level, the African Union (AU) has established several structures for promoting collaborative social, economic and political development of the continent. One of them is the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD) of which I am happy to be a founding initiator. This is an economic development program seeking to promote an overarching vision and policy framework for accelerating economic co-operation and integration among African countries. The AU has a Panel of the Wise which moves round the continent preventing and managing such conflicts that could negatively impact on development process in Africa. The…political conflicts but also include management of problems associated with the conduct of elections. It is hoped that this kind of collaborative efforts to deal with African problems would continue so that the continent can as well continue to be a society with a sane future.
In concluding my address, I wish to observe that the challenges before Africa are obviously daunting but they are not insurmountable. Though not fast enough, I like to conclude that the African continent is making gradual progress. It is no longer the Dark Continent that some pundits considered it to be though we need more power to produce light in Africa. Neither is it any longer a liability to the rest of the human race as we were once told. There are some obvious issues that we cannot gloss over. I have called cursory attention to a few of them and critically underscored how different stakeholders across the continent and beyond contend with them. Indeed, these African problems require both local and global solutions. A lot is being done; more can still be done in the direction of giving the continent a laudable future.
If you ask me to reduce all I have said in this lecture to one sentence, I will say “The quality of leadership is the strongest predictor of the political and economic future of Africa”. The issue of good leadership is the crux of the whole matter. Now is the time to improve leadership in Africa generally, particularly political leadership. It is the game-changer in the whole development agenda for the continent. Let me assure you that with the leadership question attended to, Africa will continue to make progress, particularly in economy and politics. Our commitment is strong, our focus is clear, our dedication is undiluted, and our hopes are robust, fresh and warm.
For us in Africa, we are ready to march on to a better and brighter future. With the support of our friends all over the world and with our own resolve, our political and economic present and future is assured to be bright
Former President Olusegun Obasanjo delivered this speech at the Texas Southern University, Houston, Texas, recently.
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