By Progress Godfrey

Nigeria is not in economic collapse but undergoing a difficult and necessary reset to correct long-standing structural distortions, the Director-General of the Budget Office of the Federation, Tanimu Yakubu, has said.

He stated that the prevailing hardship across the country reflects a deliberate policy shift aimed at restoring macroeconomic stability, improving fiscal discipline and strengthening the credibility of economic management, rather than a breakdown of the system.

Yakubu noted that key indicators, including exchange rate unification, rising external reserves and improved access to international capital markets, point to gradual but measurable progress despite prevailing pressures.

He said this in a statement issued in Abuja on Wednesday, stressing that the current phase represents an adjustment to long-avoided economic realities. He explained that for years, the economy operated under policies that created artificial stability while concealing deep inefficiencies, including fuel subsidies, multiple exchange rate windows and expansionary fiscal practices that encouraged arbitrage.

“Countries in true economic collapse do not unify exchange rates, rebuild external reserves, regain access to international capital markets, or improve fiscal performance. Nigeria, despite significant pressures, is making measurable progress across these indicators.

“For years, Nigeria operated under an economic framework that projected stability while masking deep inefficiencies. Artificially suppressed fuel prices, multiple exchange rate windows, and expansionary fiscal practices incentivised arbitrage over productivity,” the DG said.

Yakubu added that the removal of these distortions has exposed the real cost structure of the economy, triggering inflationary pressures but also improving policy transparency and restoring confidence in economic governance.

He further stated that fiscal data shows strengthening fundamentals, with distributable revenues to the Federation Account rising by over 40 per cent following subsidy removal, reflecting improved remittance discipline and reduced leakages, while public debt remains below 30 per cent of GDP and external reserves have exceeded $40 billion.

At the subnational level, he noted that improved fiscal inflows are supporting more regular salary payments, with some states implementing inflation adjustments, signalling a gradual expansion of fiscal space.