By Nnasom David

The Anambra Opinion Polls (AOP), a coalition of 12 independent research organizations, has officially presented its latest opinion poll results ahead of the 2025 Anambra State Governorship Election.

Speaking at a press conference, the coalition reaffirmed its commitment to transparency, accuracy, and scientific polling methodologies.

The poll was conducted using structured questionnaires, face-to-face and telephone interviews, and online sampling.

The survey covered all 21 local government areas of Anambra State, incorporating responses from youths, professionals, traders, artisans, and traditional institutions.

“Our methodologies adhere to global best practices, ensuring fairness and credibility,” said Tabuko Kennedy, Director General of the Nigeria Democratic Research Institute.

The survey, carried out over a six-week period, produced the following results:

Rt. Hon. Chukwuma Umeoji (54.6%) – The leading candidate, widely supported across different demographics due to his grassroots appeal and policy focus on infrastructure and social welfare.

“Governor Chukwuma Soludo (22.3%) – The incumbent governor retains support but faces declining approval due to governance concerns and shifting voter sentiment.

“Sen. Tony Nwoye (15.8%)– A formidable contender with strong youth backing but struggling to expand beyond his core support base.

“Sir Paul Chukwuma (4.5%) – A rising political figure with ties to opposition circles, yet to gain widespread acceptance. Dr. Obiora Okonkwo (2.1%)– Recognized for his intellectual contributions but lacking broad political structures for electoral success.

“Barth Nwibe (0.7%)– A respected technocrat with minimal political outreach.”

Analysing each of the candidates, the coalition observed:

Rt. Hon. Chukwuma Umeoji (54.6%):

Rt. Hon. Chukwuma Umeoji’s commanding lead is attributed to his strong grassroots connections and pragmatic leadership. His tenure in the National Assembly has bolstered his credibility among traders, youths, and local political structures.

“He has demonstrated an understanding of the needs of the people, particularly in areas of security, infrastructure, and job creation,” the report stated.

“Governor Chukwuma Soludo (22.3%): Governor Soludo has seen declining approval ratings despite implementing reforms. Economic hardship and policy dissatisfaction have weakened his support. His strongest backers remain technocrats, elites, and civil servants, but his influence among traders and grassroots supporters has waned.

“Voter sentiment has shifted, particularly among small business owners affected by recent economic policies,” noted Prof. Chika Udeh of the Anambra Policy and Governance Research Institute.

“Sen. Tony Nwoye (15.8%): Sen. Tony Nwoye remains a strong alternative, particularly among students and young professionals. His history of activism and Senate experience have solidified his appeal, though he has yet to consolidate support from broader political structures.

“He has the potential to disrupt the race if he strengthens his outreach efforts,” stated Dr. Olufemi Adebayo, Lead Researcher at the African Centre for Political and Electoral Studies.

“Sir Paul Chukwuma (4.5%): Sir Paul Chukwuma, a former auditor in the main opposition party, is gaining traction in political circles but remains relatively unknown at the grassroots level. His campaign would need broader engagement to increase his chances.

“Dr. Obiora Okonkwo (2.1%): Dr. Okonkwo is respected for his economic insights but lacks a robust grassroots network. His limited political structures have restricted his voter appeal.

“Barth Nwibe (0.7%): A respected technocrat with achievements in engineering and business, Nwibe has struggled to gain political traction due to minimal outreach efforts.

The AOP urged all political stakeholders to acknowledge the poll’s credibility and focus on issue-based campaigns.

“We remain committed to fostering transparency, democracy, and voter education,” the coalition concluded.