Our land soaked in blood, gloom, South-East Bishops wail

•As oil GDP declines 10.91 bps

By Elizabeth Adegbesan

Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product, GDP,  fell quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) by 1.78 percentage points to   2.25 percent in the third quarter of 2022 (Q3’22) from 3.54 percent   recorded in Q2’22.

The National Bureau of Statistics, NBS,   disclosed this yesterday in its Nigerian GDP report for Q3’22, citing the base effects of the recession and the challenging economic conditions that have impeded productive activities as reasons for the deceleration in growth rate.

However, the NBS report also indicated that real growth of the oil sector has continued a downward trend with a massive 10.91 basis points (bps) decline to -22.67 percent QoQ in Q3’22 from   -11.77 percent in Q2’22.

This trend reflected in the sector’s contribution to GDP which fell by 0.67 percentage point to 5.66 percent in Q3’22 from 6.33 percent in Q2’22.

Similarly, growth in the oil sector decreased by 0.50 percentage points to 4.27 percent from 3.7 percent in Q3’22.

NBS said: “The reduction in growth is attributable to the base effects of the recession and the challenging economic conditions that have impeded productive activities. The Q3’22 growth rate decreased by 1.78 percent points from the 4.03 percent growth rate recorded in Q3’21 and decreased by 1.29 percent points relative to 3.54 percent   in Q2’22. 

However, QoQ, real GDP grew at 9.68 percent in Q3’22, reflecting a higher economic activity in Q3’22 than the preceding quarter.

“For better clarity, the Nigerian economy has been classified broadly into the oil and non-oil sectors.

“The nation in the third quarter of 2022 recorded an average daily oil production of 1.20 million barrels per day (mbpd), lower than the daily average production of 1.57mbpd recorded in the same quarter of 2021 by 0.37mbpd and lower than the second quarter of 2022 production volume of 1.43 mbpd by 0.24mbpd.

“The real growth of the oil sector was –22.67 percent (year-on-year) in Q3 2022, indicating a decrease of 11.94% points relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2021. Growth also decreased by 10.91% points when compared to Q2’22 which was –11.77 percent.

“The non-oil sector grew by 4.27   percent in real terms during the reference quarter (Q3’22). This rate was lower by 1.18 percent   points compared to the rate recorded in the same quarter of 2021 and 0.50 percent points lower than the second quarter of 2022. 

“This sector was driven in Q3’22 mainly by information and communication (telecommunication); trade; transportation (road transport); financial and insurance (financial institutions); agriculture (crop production) and real estate, accounting for positive GDP growth. In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 94.34 percent to the nation’s GDP in the third quarter of 2022, higher than the share recorded in the third quarter of 2021 which was 92.51 percent   and higher than Q2’22 recorded as 93.67 percent.”

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