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Abia crisis and the theory of imperfect crime

OF course, you are aware of the common phrase: nobody is perfect. Forget about the Pope’s claim of infallibility. It is common sense that nobody is perfect. Criminologists and men of the Intelligence Bureau   stand on this premise to theorise that since there is no perfect man, there cannot be a perfect crime. This is the take-off point of all criminal investigations. Because crime is usually executed in a hurry, it often reflects the imperfection of man, leaving behind traces of error, mistakes, loopholes and untidiness. This is the fate of Uche Ogah in the errors in his flaunted INEC’s Certificate of Return.

There is no perfect crime and because all the   dramatis   personae in   the Abia failed coup d’etat are human beings, they could not perfect the plot without traces of error.   So do not be surprised that men of the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, forgot that the election that produced the governor of Abia State was conducted on April 11 and 25 of 2015. The election of April 11 was declared inconclusive and   a re-run held on  April 25.   The two elections combined to produce Governor Okezie Ikpeazu. But, in writing the controversial INEC certificate for Uche Ogah, Lawrence Nwurukwu, INEC Commissioner representing South East, could only remember the election of April 11. Human error number one.

There is no perfect crime. Thus, in the hurry to execute the well-rehearsed coup, a judgement that was entered on June 27 by 4pm had its enrolment order released on the 28 when it should have been released after five days by the advertisement of the judge. Then INEC despite having received the Notice of Appeal   and Notice of Stay of Execution, still hastily issued the certificate of return to Ugah. They were in a hurry to fulfill their own part of the bargain, having been provided with the legal landing ground   in the caveat of Justice Okon Abang: with immediate effect. Human error number two.

There is no perfect crime. So in the hurry, the Abuja High Court failed to summon   the Abia State Board of Internal Revenue, BIR, the issuing body of the controversial tax papers , who should have been a respondent in the case.   In   the planning   and execution of a coup, logistics is a critical factor. But Ogah and his cohorts could not anticipate a possible   delay in the flight schedule. Yet, the American Naval Seals who invaded Abbottabad, Pakistan in May, 2011 to capture Osama Bin Laden had the foresight that any of their black hawk helicopters could develop a fault. So they stationed one on standby. When the first helicopter suddenly developed a fault and could not land on the roof as was rehearsed, the pilot quietly landed it on the ground and  immediately called for a reinforcement before proceeding with the mission.

But, in the case of the failed Abia coup, the planners were fast to move soldiers and mobile policemen secretly into Aba and Umuahia few days to the black Thursday to forestall possible reactions from the masses; but they failed to tidy the aspect of the movement from Abuja. Human error. They could not also factor the possible challenges that might   arise from the Abia judiciary. They left a lacuna that the Osisioma High Court exploited to give the critical injunction that grounded the plot. They did not also conduct their feasibility to ascertain that the State Director of the SSS and other top security chiefs in the state could not be a willing tool to a sham that was going  to precipitate  an unprecedented bloodbath in the state.

The Ogah think-tanks obviously omitted the tide in their proceedings of the coup. And when a coup fails in a matter of hours,   all the “voyage is bound in shallows and misery”.   But, more importantly, the Abia   black Thursday   will go down in our lore as the greatest assault on our democracy since the birth of the Fourth Republic in 1999 in Nigeria. In Abia, it will remain as a crucial   political history, coming after the great liberation that conquered a family dynasty. Our children will hear and read about the black Thursday and shudder about one man’s flip-side ambition and the desperation for power. The   story will   be told as a legend, in folklore and dance.   It will be an epic, capturing a dispensation in the people’s movement, lauding their victories and lamenting their absurdities.

The story must record that   in the drama of the black Thursday   what was afoot was an inordinate   ambition that ignored the grave implications to law and order and the concomitant anarchy and bloodshed. The coupists   wanted to hold back the hand of the clock.   They wanted to cut short   a youthful energy that   found expression in 65 road construction works in one year. They wanted to cast a spell over a new dawn of hope characterized by the dynamism which Governor Ikpeazu   represents in  governance and which is vindicated by an excellent scorecard of one year stride. Nigeria would have helplessly watched as Ogah traversed the dangerous landmine of disorder with reckless courage and drag an otherwise peaceful state into an avoidable bloodbath.

History will also honour those who played critical roles in saving the state from a dangerous drift into the cesspit of war.   The story will decry the ugly side of ambition and note that  what Ogah   needed was patience in the actualisation of his dream. By attempting to distort the Abia Charter of Equity   upon which framework, the   PDP zoned the governorship slot to Abia South, he  hurt a great and large segment of the Abia populace, the Ukwa Ngwas and transgressed against the party. And because justice is of God, he   also transgressed against God and contravened the cosmic laws of cause and effect. He ruined a very formidable political prospect   and a great reputation.

But, the greatest of the lessons in the Abia black Thursday is the affirmation of the aphorism of the imperfection of man which lends credence to the theory of the imperfection of crime.


*Mr  Godwin Adindu, the President-General of the Abia Renaissance Movement, wrote from Umuahia, Abia State.






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